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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">EGUsphere</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>EGUsphere</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub"></issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/egusphere-2026-1831</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>Understanding the Interannual Variability of Hail in Switzerland</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Wilhelm</surname>
<given-names>Lena</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2666-8378</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Feldmann</surname>
<given-names>Monika</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8123-5415</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Schröer</surname>
<given-names>Katharina</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2535-6658</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Schwierz</surname>
<given-names>Cornelia</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8761-1677</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Martius</surname>
<given-names>Olivia</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8645-4702</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>Institute of Geography and Oeschger Centre for Climate Change Research, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>Institute of Environmental Social Sciences and Geography, University of Freiburg, Freiburg, Germany</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff3">
<label>3</label>
<addr-line>Office of Meteorology and Climatology, MeteoSwiss, Zurich, Switzerland</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff4">
<label>4</label>
<addr-line>now at: Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zürich, Switzerland</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>15</day>
<month>04</month>
<year>2026</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2026</volume>
<fpage>1</fpage>
<lpage>39</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2026 Lena Wilhelm et al.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2026</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-1831/">This article is available from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-1831/</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-1831/egusphere-2026-1831.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-1831/egusphere-2026-1831.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>Hailstorms are among the most damaging natural hazards in Switzerland, yet the large-scale processes governing their interannual variability remain poorly understood, limiting the potential for early prediction and risk preparedness. Using a 64-year reconstruction of past hail days (1959&amp;ndash;2022) and ERA5 reanalysis data, we identify the dominant atmospheric, oceanic, and land-surface patterns associated with particularly active hail seasons north and south of the Swiss Alps.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Active hail seasons are associated with recurrent large-scale circulation anomalies, characterized by a zonally or meridionally oriented Euro-Atlantic wave train, together with seasonally preconditioned background states in sea-surface temperatures, near-surface temperature, and the mid-tropospheric circulation. These conditions promote repeated occurrences of hail-favorable environments with warm and moist boundary layers, enhanced instability, and moderate convective inhibition. The identified patterns differ significantly from those in hail-sparse seasons and exhibit distinct regional differences: north of the Alps, moisture supply is linked primarily to Atlantic influences and continental evaporation, and the strongest seasonal-scale anomalies occur in temperature, indicating a predominantly temperature-limited regime. South of the Alps, hail activity is associated with frequent elevated dry-layer conditions and a stronger contribution from Mediterranean moisture, occurring in a generally more convection-favorable environment with weaker seasonal-scale anomalies. We further find wintertime precursors of active hail seasons, including continental cooling and Pacific SST anomalies resembling a positive Pacific Decadal Oscillation phase, pointing to low-frequency preconditioning through large-scale teleconnection pathways. Together, these results identify consistent circulation regimes and precursor signals that could underpin (sub-)seasonal hail prediction in Switzerland and Central Europe.</p>
</abstract>
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<funding-group>
<award-group id="gs1">
<funding-source>Schweizerischer Nationalfonds zur Förderung der Wissenschaftlichen Forschung</funding-source>
<award-id>CRSII5201792</award-id>
</award-group>
</funding-group>
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