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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">EGUsphere</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>EGUsphere</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub"></issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/egusphere-2026-1597</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>Biological thresholds for marine carbon dioxide removal (mCDR): the effect of changes in carbonate chemistry</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>McElhany</surname>
<given-names>Paul</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Cape</surname>
<given-names>Mattias</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5621-1128</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Faucher</surname>
<given-names>Giulia</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8930-477X</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Frieder</surname>
<given-names>Christina</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff5">
<sup>5</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Hemery</surname>
<given-names>Lenaïg G.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5337-4514</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff6">
<sup>6</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Iglesias-Rodriguez</surname>
<given-names>Debora</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff7">
<sup>7</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Murray</surname>
<given-names>Christopher S.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8504-9054</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff8">
<sup>8</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Noble</surname>
<given-names>Wesley</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff9">
<sup>9</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>Conservation  Biology  Division,  Northwest  Fisheries  Science  Center,  National  Marine  Fisheries  Service,   National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Seattle, WA, 98112, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>Environmental Defense Fund, New York, NY, 10010 USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff3">
<label>3</label>
<addr-line>Bigelow Laboratory for Ocean Sciences, East Boothbay, ME,  04544,  USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff4">
<label>4</label>
<addr-line>GEOMAR Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research Kiel, Kiel, Germany</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff5">
<label>5</label>
<addr-line>Southern California Coastal Water Research Project, Costa Mesa, CA, 92626 USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff6">
<label>6</label>
<addr-line>Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Coastal Sciences Division, Sequim, WA, 98382, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff7">
<label>7</label>
<addr-line>Department  of  Ecology,  Evolution,  and  Marine  Biology,  University  of  California  Santa  Barbara  and Marine Science Institute, Santa Barbara, CA, 93106, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff8">
<label>8</label>
<addr-line>Biology Department, Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, Woods Hole, MA, 02543, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff9">
<label>9</label>
<addr-line>Bren  School  of  Environmental  Science  and  Management,  University  of  California,  Santa  Barbara,  CA,   93106, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>26</day>
<month>03</month>
<year>2026</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2026</volume>
<fpage>1</fpage>
<lpage>68</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2026 Paul McElhany et al.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2026</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-1597/">This article is available from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-1597/</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-1597/egusphere-2026-1597.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-1597/egusphere-2026-1597.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>Marine carbon dioxide removal (mCDR) encompasses a variety of approaches to actively remove CO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt; from the atmosphere, which, given current and projected emissions, is necessary to keep global average temperature increases to less than 2 &amp;deg;C. In addition to the removal of CO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt; from the atmosphere, mCDR projects would have effects on the marine environment, including changes in ocean carbonate chemistry. These changes in carbonate chemistry can affect marine organisms through multiple physiological pathways. Although research on the effects of ocean acidification over the last fifteen years has advanced understanding of the effects of low pH/high CO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt; conditions on marine organisms, much less is known about organismal response to the high pH/low CO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt; or high alkalinity conditions that can be generated by some mCDR methods. We created a database of available information on marine species response to the carbonate chemistry conditions that can be generated by mCDR with a focus on identifying carbonate chemistry thresholds at which biological responses occur. The database contains 310 studies, from which we estimated 276 thresholds. In addition to all mCDR studies available to date, we reviewed studies not explicitly designed to address mCDR. These studies used natural and artificially manipulated variations in carbonate chemistry, including increasing pH and alkalinity, to explore basic physiological and biological responses as well as approaches to mitigate ocean acidification. In analyzing the database, we considered a variety of biological responses, both positive and negative, and considered sensitivity by taxa, exposure duration, treatment method and other factors. Using practical definitions of a threshold, including one based on the treatment level leading to the first statistically significant biological response, we describe the distribution of pH and alkalinity threshold values. The data reveal a high tolerance for high pH (&amp;gt;12) and high alkalinity for some species responses under some experimental conditions, but negative response to experimental conditions only slightly above ambient (pH 8.3) for other species responses. A positive effect of pH above ambient levels was observed in six cases, just 3 % of the total. We summarize results by presenting the distributions of threshold estimates collected from individual studies. The uncertainty and variation in organismal response represents a challenge for the development of management guidelines for the developing mCDR industry. Building on our review of existing studies, we suggest several paths forward for improved biological threshold estimates for mCDR-relevant carbonate chemistry conditions.</p>
</abstract>
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<funding-group>
<award-group id="gs1">
<funding-source>Northwest Fisheries Science Center</funding-source>
<award-id>na</award-id>
</award-group>
<award-group id="gs2">
<funding-source>Ocean Acidification Program</funding-source>
<award-id>na</award-id>
</award-group>
</funding-group>
</article-meta>
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