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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">EGUsphere</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>EGUsphere</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub"></issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/egusphere-2026-1474</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>Greater variability in environmental stress favours trees that prioritise storage of carbohydrate reserves over growth: a modelling analysis</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Stefaniak</surname>
<given-names>Elisa Z.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2998-5619</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Tissue</surname>
<given-names>David T.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8497-2047</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Falster</surname>
<given-names>Daniel S.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Medlyn</surname>
<given-names>Belinda E.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>Biodiversity, Ecology and Conservation Group, Biodiversity and Natural Resources Program, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Schlossplatz 1, Laxenburg 2361, Austria</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>Hawkesbury Institute for the Environment, Western Sydney University, UWS Hawkesbury Campus, Science Rd, Richmond NSW 2753, Australia</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff3">
<label>3</label>
<addr-line>National Vegetable Protected Cropping Centre, Hawkesbury Institute for the Environment, Western Sydney University, Penrith, NSW, Australia</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff4">
<label>4</label>
<addr-line>Evolution and Ecology Research Centre, University of New South Wales, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>10</day>
<month>04</month>
<year>2026</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2026</volume>
<fpage>1</fpage>
<lpage>24</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2026 Elisa Z. Stefaniak et al.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2026</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-1474/">This article is available from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-1474/</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-1474/egusphere-2026-1474.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-1474/egusphere-2026-1474.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>Trees use reserves of non-structural carbohydrates (NSC) to help them survive and recover from stress periods. However, accumulation of reserves is at the expense of growth, resulting in a growth-storage trade-off. Tree species may pursue different storage strategies to optimise fitness in environments with differing degrees of stress, but it is not clear which storage strategies provide a competitive advantage in which environments.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;We use a forest gap model to explore competitive outcomes among idealised tree species with different combinations of two carbon storage-related traits: carbon utilisation rate (fast-slow spectrum) and switch time from growth to storage (risky-safe spectrum). We investigate the competitive success of alternative growth vs storage strategies in simplified environments which have a non-specific annual stress period. We vary stress intensity (the mean stress duration) and stress stochasticity (the variance of stress duration) to determine the effect of increased stress on composition outcomes.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Community composition shifted from growth-prioritising strategies to storage-prioritising strategies with increasing stress intensity and stochasticity. The major driver of this shift in community composition was increased mortality, due to depletion of carbon reserves, in species with growth-prioritising strategies.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Our results demonstrate that considering carbon storage strategies can provide new insights into tree survival and adaptation of tree communities to increasing stress caused by climate change.</p>
</abstract>
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<funding-group>
<award-group id="gs1">
<funding-source>Australian Research Council</funding-source>
<award-id>DP160103436</award-id>
</award-group>
</funding-group>
</article-meta>
</front>
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