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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">EGUsphere</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>EGUsphere</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub"></issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/egusphere-2026-1339</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>DIRECT 1.0: A diffusion-based generative model for dense sea surface temperature reconstructions from sparse satellite observations</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Rovšček</surname>
<given-names>Grega</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Ličer</surname>
<given-names>Matjaž</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2304-2505</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff5">
<sup>5</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Barth</surname>
<given-names>Alexander</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2952-5997</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Kristan</surname>
<given-names>Matej</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4252-4342</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>Faculty of Computer and Information Science, Visual Cognitive Systems Lab, University of Ljubljana, Ljubljana, Slovenia</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>Slovenian Environment Agency, Office for Meteorology, Hydrology and Oceanography, Ljubljana, Slovenia</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff3">
<label>3</label>
<addr-line>National Institute of Biology, Marine Biology Station, Piran, Slovenia</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff4">
<label>4</label>
<addr-line>Department of Astrophysics, Geophysics and Oceanography, Geohydrodynamics and Environment Research, University of Liège, Liège, Belgium</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff5">
<label>5</label>
<addr-line>Faculty of Mathematics and Physics, University of Ljubljana, Ljubljana, Slovenia</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>03</day>
<month>06</month>
<year>2026</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2026</volume>
<fpage>1</fpage>
<lpage>31</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2026 Grega Rovšček et al.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2026</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-1339/">This article is available from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-1339/</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-1339/egusphere-2026-1339.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-1339/egusphere-2026-1339.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>Satellite sea surface temperature (SST) observations are frequently obscured by cloud cover, creating large gaps that must be reconstructed for many oceanographic and climate applications. Because multiple high-resolution SST fields may be consistent with the same sparse observations, this reconstruction problem is inherently ambiguous. Nevertheless, most existing approaches remain deterministic, producing a single estimate that is often overly smooth, may contain unrealistic artifacts, and provides limited or unreliable uncertainty estimates. To address these limitations, we introduce DIRECT, a conditional generative framework for dense SST reconstruction that models the full distribution of plausible solutions rather than a single deterministic estimate. DIRECT is based on a rectified flow-matching formulation, conditioned on temporal context and day-of-year seasonality, and presents an observation-guided rectification that anchors the generative trajectory to measured pixels at every integration step. By sampling multiple reconstructions, DIRECT produces an ensemble of physically plausible SST fields, enabling both an accurate mean reconstruction and spatially resolved uncertainty estimates that are calibrated using a lightweight post-hoc variance correction. Experiments on three Level-3 SST datasets (Mediterranean, Adriatic, and Atlantic) show that DIRECT sets a new state-of-the-art, reducing Root Mean Square Error (RMSE, in &amp;deg;C) by 6&amp;ndash;14 % compared with the strongest published method, while better preserving mesoscale structure. Further analysis of spatial scale correlations indicates that DIRECT maintains physically consistent textures even when reconstructing large, completely unobserved regions. Performance improvements remain robust across a wide range of cloud-coverage conditions, enabling reliable SST reconstruction from sparse satellite observations over much of the global ocean.</p>
</abstract>
<counts><page-count count="31"/></counts>
<funding-group>
<award-group id="gs1">
<funding-source>The Slovenian Research and Innovation Agency</funding-source>
<award-id>P1-0237</award-id>
</award-group>
<award-group id="gs2">
<funding-source>European High Performance Computing Joint Undertaking</funding-source>
<award-id>101254461</award-id>
</award-group>
</funding-group>
</article-meta>
</front>
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