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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">EGUsphere</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>EGUsphere</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub"></issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/egusphere-2026-1237</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>The Cold-Air Outbreaks in the Marine Boundary Layer Experiment model-observation intercomparison project (COMBLE-MIP), Part I: Model specification, observational constraints, and preliminary findings</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Juliano</surname>
<given-names>Timothy W.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Tornow</surname>
<given-names>Florian</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Fridlind</surname>
<given-names>Ann M.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9020-0852</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Ackerman</surname>
<given-names>Andrew S.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Elsaesser</surname>
<given-names>Gregory S.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5785-4451</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Geerts</surname>
<given-names>Bart</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1508-6121</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Lackner</surname>
<given-names>Christian P.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9692-7879</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Painemal</surname>
<given-names>David</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff5">
<sup>5</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff6">
<sup>6</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Silber</surname>
<given-names>Israel</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6588-2145</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff7">
<sup>7</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Ovchinnikov</surname>
<given-names>Mikhail</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff7">
<sup>7</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Svensson</surname>
<given-names>Gunilla</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9074-7623</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff8">
<sup>8</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Tjernström</surname>
<given-names>Michael</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6908-7410</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff8">
<sup>8</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Wu</surname>
<given-names>Peng</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7066-5487</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff7">
<sup>7</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Baró Pérez</surname>
<given-names>Alejandro</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff9">
<sup>9</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Bogenschutz</surname>
<given-names>Peter</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff19">
<sup>19</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Chechin</surname>
<given-names>Dmitry</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff10">
<sup>10</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Chandrakar</surname>
<given-names>Kamal Kant</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2970-3458</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Chylik</surname>
<given-names>Jan</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3677-7861</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff11">
<sup>11</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Debolskiy</surname>
<given-names>Andrey</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff12">
<sup>12</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff20">
<sup>20</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Fadeev</surname>
<given-names>Rostislav</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3928-9986</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff13">
<sup>13</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Gupta</surname>
<given-names>Anu</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff14">
<sup>14</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Ickes</surname>
<given-names>Luisa</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8772-4164</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff9">
<sup>9</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Karalis</surname>
<given-names>Michail</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0009-0007-3519-7180</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff8">
<sup>8</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Köhler</surname>
<given-names>Martin</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3386-1715</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff15">
<sup>15</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Kosovic</surname>
<given-names>Branko</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1746-0746</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff16">
<sup>16</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Kuma</surname>
<given-names>Peter</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff17">
<sup>17</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Li</surname>
<given-names>Weiwei</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Mortikov</surname>
<given-names>Evgeny</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9683-5701</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff12">
<sup>12</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff20">
<sup>20</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Morrison</surname>
<given-names>Hugh</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Neggers</surname>
<given-names>Roel A. J.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9182-3050</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff11">
<sup>11</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Possner</surname>
<given-names>Anna</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6996-8624</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff17">
<sup>17</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Raatikainen</surname>
<given-names>Tomi</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2603-516X</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff18">
<sup>18</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Raillard</surname>
<given-names>Lea</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0009-0008-3937-9341</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff21">
<sup>21</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Romakkaniemi</surname>
<given-names>Sami</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9414-3093</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff18">
<sup>18</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Schnierstein</surname>
<given-names>Niklas</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff11">
<sup>11</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Shima</surname>
<given-names>Shin-ichiro</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5540-713X</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff14">
<sup>14</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Silin</surname>
<given-names>Nikita</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0009-0006-6241-4825</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff12">
<sup>12</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Tolstykh</surname>
<given-names>Mikhail</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff13">
<sup>13</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Vignon</surname>
<given-names>Étienne</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3801-9367</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff21">
<sup>21</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Xue</surname>
<given-names>Lulin</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5501-9134</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Zhang</surname>
<given-names>Meng</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff19">
<sup>19</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Zheng</surname>
<given-names>Xue</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9372-1776</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff19">
<sup>19</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>U.S. National Science Foundation (NSF) National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR), Boulder, CO, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>Columbia University, New York, NY, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff3">
<label>3</label>
<addr-line>National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS), New York, NY, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff4">
<label>4</label>
<addr-line>University of Wyoming, Laramie, WY, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff5">
<label>5</label>
<addr-line>NASA Langley Research Center, Hampton, VA, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff6">
<label>6</label>
<addr-line>Science Systems and Applications, Inc., Hampton, VA, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff7">
<label>7</label>
<addr-line>Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL), Richland, WA, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff8">
<label>8</label>
<addr-line>Department of Meteorology and Bolin Centre for Climate Research, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff9">
<label>9</label>
<addr-line>Chalmers Technical University, Gothenburg, Sweden</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff10">
<label>10</label>
<addr-line>Obukhov Institute of Atmospheric Physics (IAP), Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS), Moscow, Russia</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff11">
<label>11</label>
<addr-line>University of Cologne, Cologne, Germany</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff12">
<label>12</label>
<addr-line>Research Computing Center, Lomonosov Moscow State University, Moscow, Russia</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff13">
<label>13</label>
<addr-line>Institute of Numerical Mathematics (INM), RAS, and Hydrometcentre of Russia, Moscow, Russia</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff14">
<label>14</label>
<addr-line>Graduate School of Information Science, University of Hyogo, Kobe, Japan</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff15">
<label>15</label>
<addr-line>Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD), Offenbach am Main, Germany</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff16">
<label>16</label>
<addr-line>Ralph O’Connor Sustainable Energy Institute, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff17">
<label>17</label>
<addr-line>Goethe University, Frankfurt, Germany</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff18">
<label>18</label>
<addr-line>Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, Finland</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff19">
<label>19</label>
<addr-line>Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL), Livermore, CA, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff20">
<label>20</label>
<addr-line>Moscow Center of Fundamental and Applied Mathematics, Moscow, Russia</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff21">
<label>21</label>
<addr-line>Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique-IPSL, Sorbonne Université/CNRS/Ecole Normale Supérieure-PSL Université/Ecole Polytechnique-Institut Polytechnique de Paris, Paris, France</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>10</day>
<month>04</month>
<year>2026</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2026</volume>
<fpage>1</fpage>
<lpage>53</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2026 Timothy W. Juliano et al.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2026</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-1237/">This article is available from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-1237/</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-1237/egusphere-2026-1237.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-1237/egusphere-2026-1237.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>Models struggle to represent the coupled microphysical, turbulent and radiative processes within widespread, long-lived marine cold-air outbreak (CAO) cloud fields, contributing to forecast and climate biases. Here we combine ground-based and satellite measurements to initialize and constrain large-eddy simulations (LES) of cloud field evolution with distance downwind from the marginal ice zone during a strong, highly supercooled and convective CAO observed during the Cold-Air Outbreaks in the Marine Boundary Layer Experiment (COMBLE). LES results are compared with large-scale models run in single-column model (SCM) mode, providing an observation-constrained framework for large-scale model evaluation and future improvements. All models reproduce rapid cloud formation off the ice edge, and a monotonic ascent of downwind cloud-top heights, closely linked to time-integrated surface heat fluxes. LES generally reproduce domain-mean observational targets using a modest test domain (25 x 25 km&lt;sup&gt;2&lt;/sup&gt;), and a larger domain (125 x 125 km&lt;sup&gt;2&lt;/sup&gt;) enables better reproducing the observed growth of convective cell sizes. In realistic mixed-phase LES compared with liquid-only simulations, ice processes lead to thinner, broken cloud decks and substantially reduced cloud radiative effects on top-of-atmosphere longwave fluxes. By contrast, mixed-phase SCM simulations generally underpredict the radiative impact of ice, primarily owing to insufficient reduction of cloud cover. Results indicate that cellular cloud structure is qualitatively captured by LES, and thus LES could provide guidance to improvement of large-scale model physics schemes. Follow-on work will extend these results to larger domains, apply objective analysis of mesoscale structure, and include prognostic aerosol properties for droplet and heterogeneous ice formation.</p>
</abstract>
<counts><page-count count="53"/></counts>
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