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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">EGUsphere</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>EGUsphere</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub"></issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/egusphere-2026-1172</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>Climate variability in Poland (Central Europe) in the 16th century based on multiproxy data</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Przybylak</surname>
<given-names>Rajmund</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4101-6116</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff7">
<sup>7</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Oliński</surname>
<given-names>Piotr</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1428-0800</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff7">
<sup>7</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Koprowski</surname>
<given-names>Marcin</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0583-4165</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff7">
<sup>7</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Chorążyczewski</surname>
<given-names>Waldemar</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff7">
<sup>7</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Szychowska-Krąpiec</surname>
<given-names>Elżbieta</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff5">
<sup>5</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Krąpiec</surname>
<given-names>Marek</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff6">
<sup>6</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Pospieszyńska</surname>
<given-names>Aleksandra</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2532-7168</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff7">
<sup>7</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>Department of Meteorology and Climatology, Faculty of Earth Sciences and Spatial Management, Nicolaus Copernicus University, Toruń, Poland</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>Department of Medieval History, Institute of History and Archival Sciences, Faculty of History, Nicolaus Copernicus University in Toruń, Poland</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff3">
<label>3</label>
<addr-line>Department of Archival Science and Records Management, Institute of History and Archival Sciences, Faculty of History, Nicolaus Copernicus University in Toruń, Poland</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff4">
<label>4</label>
<addr-line>Department of Ecology and Biogeography, Faculty of Biology and Environmental Protection, Nicolaus Copernicus University, Toruń, Poland</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff5">
<label>5</label>
<addr-line>Department of Environmental Analysis, Geological Mapping and Economic Geology, Faculty of Geology, 14 Geophysics and Environmental Protection, AGH University of Kraków, Poland</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff6">
<label>6</label>
<addr-line>Department of General Geology and Geotourism, Faculty of Geology, Geophysics and Environmental Protection, AGH University of Kraków, Poland</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff7">
<label>7</label>
<addr-line>Centre for Climate Change Research, Nicolaus Copernicus University, Toruń, Poland</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>06</day>
<month>03</month>
<year>2026</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2026</volume>
<fpage>1</fpage>
<lpage>38</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2026 Rajmund Przybylak et al.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2026</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-1172/">This article is available from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-1172/</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-1172/egusphere-2026-1172.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-1172/egusphere-2026-1172.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>The article includes an overview of the current state of knowledge regarding climate in Poland (Central Europe) in the 16&lt;sup&gt;th&lt;/sup&gt; century and its changes. For this purpose, we utilised all previously published reconstructions and five new quantitative reconstructions incorporating dendrochronological data and documentary evidence. New dendrochronological data were used to reconstruct the mean winter or late winter&amp;ndash;early spring temperatures, while documentary evidence enabled the reconstruction of mean winter (DJF) and summer (JJA) temperatures. The climate of Poland in the 16th century, as reconstructed from documentary evidence, was colder than it is today (1991&amp;ndash;2020), particularly in winter (by 3.6&amp;thinsp;&amp;deg;C). In summer, it was only 0.7&amp;thinsp;&amp;deg;C colder than today. Compared to the average for the entire 20th century, however, the summer average in the 16th century was 0.3&amp;thinsp;&amp;deg;C warmer, whereas the winter average was 2.5&amp;thinsp;&amp;deg;C colder. In both dendrochronological reconstructions of the temperature of south-eastern Poland, the temperatures in the 16th century were generally lower than those recorded today (1951&amp;ndash;2000), particularly in the case of the reconstruction based on the fir chronology (December&amp;ndash;March). Anomalies, however, both positive and negative, were usually of less than one standard deviation from the long-term mean. On the other hand, in northern Poland, the February&amp;ndash;March temperatures in the 16th century were, on average, comparable to those of the present. Most available temperature reconstructions for Poland reveal cooling over the last few decades of the 16th century, particularly during the winter half-year. The climate in the 16&lt;sup&gt;th&lt;/sup&gt; century was more continental than it is today.</p>
</abstract>
<counts><page-count count="38"/></counts>
<funding-group>
<award-group id="gs1">
<funding-source>Narodowe Centrum Nauki</funding-source>
<award-id>2020/37/B/ST10/00710</award-id>
</award-group>
<award-group id="gs2">
<funding-source>Akademia Górniczo-Hutnicza im. Stanislawa Staszica</funding-source>
<award-id>16.16.140.315</award-id>
</award-group>
</funding-group>
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</front>
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