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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">EGUsphere</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>EGUsphere</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub"></issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/egusphere-2026-1145</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>Budget Allocation for Emergency Management in Flood-Prone Mining Regions: A System Dynamics Perspective</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Muñoz Pinzón</surname>
<given-names>Dairo Steven</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Rodríguez Coca</surname>
<given-names>Diana</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Guerrero Rueda</surname>
<given-names>William J.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>González Rodríguez</surname>
<given-names>Leonardo José</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7277-2286</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>Doctorado en Logística y Gestión de Cadenas de Suministro, School of Engineering, Universidad de la Sabana, Chía, 250001, Colombia</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>School of Fire, Construction, and Emergency Management, Oklahoma State University, Stillwater, 74075, United States</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff3">
<label>3</label>
<addr-line>Facultad de Ingeniería, Universidad del Magdalena, Santa Marta, 47001, Colombia</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>30</day>
<month>03</month>
<year>2026</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2026</volume>
<fpage>1</fpage>
<lpage>25</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2026 Dairo Steven Muñoz Pinzón et al.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2026</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-1145/">This article is available from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-1145/</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-1145/egusphere-2026-1145.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-1145/egusphere-2026-1145.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>Local governments face uncertainty when allocating resources for flood risk management, particularly in open-pit mining areas where sediment-laden runoff intensifies floods. Climate variability and increasingly intense precipitation peaks complicate the prioritization of interventions that protect people and infrastructure while safeguarding business continuity under limited budgets. To support this decision-making process a system dynamics model is developed to evaluate local public budget allocation and its effects on prevention, emergency response, and recovery. The model incorporates climate variability as an exogenous disturbance and assesses robustness and resilience through key performance indicators, including response costs, operational requirements, deprivation costs, and business continuity. It is validated through structural tests and expert consultation and applied illustratively to a mining community in Colombia. Computational experiments compare alternative emergency management budget allocation policies. A policy allocating a larger budget share to preventive channel maintenance while sustaining assistance for affected populations yields superior robustness, resilience, business continuity, and lower deprivation costs than alternative strategies. The model supports local decision-makers in public administration and disaster risk management in designing integrated budget allocation policies that balance preventive and reactive spending; jointly account for impacts on people, infrastructure, and business continuity; and strengthen flood risk management.</p>
</abstract>
<counts><page-count count="25"/></counts>
<funding-group>
<award-group id="gs1">
<funding-source>Universidad de La Sabana</funding-source>
<award-id>Robustness and Resilience Analysis of the Bogotá River Basin Water System Considering Flooding, Water and Energy Shortage</award-id>
</award-group>
<award-group id="gs2">
<funding-source>Sistema General de Regalías de Colombia</funding-source>
<award-id>Becas de Excelencia Doctoral del Bicentenario</award-id>
</award-group>
</funding-group>
</article-meta>
</front>
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