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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">EGUsphere</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>EGUsphere</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub"></issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/egusphere-2026-1081</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>Joint Bayesian Calibration of Frontal Ablation and Surface Mass Balance in Global Glacier Models</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Yang</surname>
<given-names>Ruitang</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5145-940X</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Ultee</surname>
<given-names>Lizz</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8780-3089</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Aalstad</surname>
<given-names>Kristoffer</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2475-3731</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Debolskiy</surname>
<given-names>Matvey V.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Hock</surname>
<given-names>Regine</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Schmitt</surname>
<given-names>Patrick</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7724-5979</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Rounce</surname>
<given-names>David</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4481-4191</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff5">
<sup>5</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Li</surname>
<given-names>Tian</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1577-4004</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff6">
<sup>6</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>Department of Geosciences, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff3">
<label>3</label>
<addr-line>Morgan State University, Baltimore, MD, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff4">
<label>4</label>
<addr-line>University of Innsbruck, Innsbruck, Austria</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff5">
<label>5</label>
<addr-line>Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff6">
<label>6</label>
<addr-line>Bristol Glaciology Centre, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>04</day>
<month>05</month>
<year>2026</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2026</volume>
<fpage>1</fpage>
<lpage>22</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2026 Ruitang Yang et al.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2026</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-1081/">This article is available from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-1081/</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-1081/egusphere-2026-1081.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-1081/egusphere-2026-1081.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>Modeling frontal ablation of marine-terminating glaciers is critical for accurately modeling mass change but remains challenging. We present a hybrid, physically consistent and numerically efficient modelling framework that integrates the Simple Estimator of Retreat Magnitude and ice flux (SERMeQ) into two coupled global glacier models (OGGM and PyGEM). The adaptive particle‑batch smoother, a Bayesian data assimilation method, is used for joint calibration of all parameters. The coupled framework simulates monthly length changes along flowlines and mass‑balance components of individual glaciers. Applied to 71 marine-terminating glaciers across Svalbard during the period of 2000&amp;ndash;2019, the model simulates distinct seasonal variations and annual length changes of glacier calving fronts, while reproducing decadal climatic mass balance estimates well. However, frontal ablation tends to be overestimated possibly due to uncertainties in initial geometry and modelled ice velocities. Overall, the good alignment of the regional distributions highlights that the modeling framework, including the efficient joint Bayesian calibration, provides a promising tool for large-scale frontal ablation modeling in glacier evolution models.</p>
</abstract>
<counts><page-count count="22"/></counts>
<funding-group>
<award-group id="gs1">
<funding-source>Norges Forskningsråd</funding-source>
<award-id>324131</award-id>
</award-group>
<award-group id="gs2">
<funding-source>HORIZON EUROPE European Research Council</funding-source>
<award-id>101096057</award-id>
</award-group>
</funding-group>
</article-meta>
</front>
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