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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">EGUsphere</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>EGUsphere</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub"></issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/egusphere-2025-6554</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>The Changing Sensitivity of Wintertime Particulate Nitrate to Precursor Emissions Diagnosed via Satellite Observations of Ammonia and Nitrogen Dioxide over the Midwestern United States</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Vo</surname>
<given-names>Toan</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Christiansen</surname>
<given-names>Amy E.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0114-1924</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>Division of Energy, Matter &amp; Systems, University of Missouri – Kansas City, MO, 64110</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>23</day>
<month>01</month>
<year>2026</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2026</volume>
<fpage>1</fpage>
<lpage>24</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2026 Toan Vo</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2026</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2025-6554/">This article is available from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2025-6554/</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2025-6554/egusphere-2025-6554.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2025-6554/egusphere-2025-6554.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>Particulate nitrate (PN) is a critical component of fine particulate matter (PM&lt;sub&gt;2.5&lt;/sub&gt;). During wintertime, the contribution of PN to PM&lt;sub&gt;2.5&lt;/sub&gt; over the Midwestern United States (MWUS), an agriculturally intensive region, has increased over the past decade and now contributes up to 40 % of the particle mass. PN formation is controlled by nitrogen oxides (NO&lt;sub&gt;x&lt;/sub&gt;=NO + NO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt;), ammonia (NH&lt;sub&gt;3&lt;/sub&gt;), and volatile organic compounds (VOCs). To best control wintertime PM&lt;sub&gt;2.5&lt;/sub&gt; burden, it is critical to determine PN formation sensitivity to precursor gases, but this is not well constrained. Prior efforts to diagnose PN sensitivity have been limited on both spatial and temporal scales. Satellite tropospheric column NH&lt;sub&gt;3&lt;/sub&gt;/NO&lt;sub&gt;2 &lt;/sub&gt;ratios cover large areas and long timeframes, and they have been shown to be effective in diagnosing PN sensitivity over East Asia, Europe, and the Eastern United States. Here, we expand this approach to quantify spatially and temporally resolved multidecadal wintertime PN formation sensitivity to NH&lt;sub&gt;3&lt;/sub&gt;, NO&lt;sub&gt;x&lt;/sub&gt;, and VOCs in the MWUS from 2007 to 2023 via satellite observations and GEOS-Chem sensitivity simulations. More than half of the total diagnosed pixels are classified as NO&lt;sub&gt;x&lt;/sub&gt;-sensitive in 2007, and this increases to 89.0 % by 2023. VOCs do not control MWUS PN formation. The shift in PN formation sensitivity is explained by relatively flat trends in satellite NO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt; column densities (0.48 &amp;plusmn; 0.60 % yr&lt;sup&gt;-1&lt;/sup&gt;) in combination with increases in satellite NH&lt;sub&gt;3&lt;/sub&gt; column densities (1.3 &amp;plusmn; 0.3 % yr&lt;sup&gt;-1&lt;/sup&gt;). Our work indicates that targeting NO&lt;sub&gt;x&lt;/sub&gt; emissions is chemically effective for reducing wintertime PN and PM&lt;sub&gt;2.5 &lt;/sub&gt;burden.</p>
</abstract>
<counts><page-count count="24"/></counts>
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