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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">EGUsphere</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>EGUsphere</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub"></issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/egusphere-2025-5739</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>Incorporating observed fire severity in refined emissions estimates for boreal and temperate forest fires in the carbon budget model CBM-CFS3 v1.2</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Thompson</surname>
<given-names>Dan K.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4937-8875</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Whitman</surname>
<given-names>Ellen</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Hafer</surname>
<given-names>Mark</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Hararuk</surname>
<given-names>Oleksandra</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Hanes</surname>
<given-names>Chelene</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Manvailer Goncalves</surname>
<given-names>Vinicius</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6529-4474</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Hudson</surname>
<given-names>Ben</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7142-6354</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>Natural Resources Canada, Canadian Forest Service, Great Lakes Forestry Centre, Sault Ste. Marie, Canada</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>Natural Resources Canada, Canadian Forest Service, Northern Forestry Centre, Edmonton, Canada</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff3">
<label>3</label>
<addr-line>Natural Resources Canada, Canadian Forest Service, Pacific Forestry Centre, Victoria, Canada</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>04</day>
<month>01</month>
<year>2026</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2026</volume>
<fpage>1</fpage>
<lpage>45</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2026 Dan K. Thompson et al.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2026</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2025-5739/">This article is available from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2025-5739/</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2025-5739/egusphere-2025-5739.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2025-5739/egusphere-2025-5739.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>Among the many natural disturbances that affect Canada&apos;s boreal and temperate forest biomes, wildfire has the greatest impact on forest productivity, landscape structure, timber supply and greenhouse gas emissions. Fire severity represents the fate of biomass, partitioning survival, consumption, and mortality without consumption. Currently, the impact of fire on carbon stocks is limited to a single parametrization of fire severity that assumes only high severity fires, despite evidence of widespread mixed-severity fires. This paper describes a sub-model, termed FireDMs (Fire Disturbance Matrix: severity), of the National Forest Carbon Monitoring Accounting and Reporting System for Canada (NFCMARS). In this sub-model, field measurements of biomass consumption are related to satellite-derived burn severity maps and are interpreted from a fire physics and ecology perspective to derive estimates of the forest greenhouse gas emissions in the immediate aftermath of fires. The sub-model also quantifies fire-killed but uncombusted biomass as a set of distinct pools. Model outputs indicate total direct carbon emissions range from a 11 t C/ha in Boreal Shield West forests of Saskatchewan following low severity fire to over 60 t C/ha in Pacific Maritime forests of British Columbia under high severity fire. The existing approach to emissions in NFC-MARS yields regional CO2e emissions that are 10 to 25 percent higher than this new method, owing to lower overall canopy consumption with mixed-severity fires, which is only partially offset by increased estimates of forest floor consumption in this new approach. Comparisons against directly observed fire plume emissions ratios as well as against annualized carbon emissions for Canada&apos;s 2023 fire season show good model agreement with observations.</p>
</abstract>
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