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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">EGUsphere</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>EGUsphere</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub"></issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/egusphere-2025-5305</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>ML-IAM v1.0: Emulating Integrated Assessment Models With Machine Learning</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Shin</surname>
<given-names>Yen</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Lee</surname>
<given-names>Changyoon</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Kim</surname>
<given-names>Eunsu</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Myung</surname>
<given-names>Junho</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Park</surname>
<given-names>Kiwoong</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0009-0007-8873-8243</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Ha</surname>
<given-names>Jiheun</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Choi</surname>
<given-names>Min-Young</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Kim</surname>
<given-names>Bomi</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff5">
<sup>5</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff6">
<sup>6</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Ka</surname>
<given-names>Hyun W.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Woo</surname>
<given-names>Jung-Hun</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Oh</surname>
<given-names>Alice</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7884-3038</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>McJeon</surname>
<given-names>Haewon</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0348-5704</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>School of Transdisciplinary Studies, KAIST, Daejeon, Korea</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>School of Computing, KAIST, Daejeon, Korea</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff3">
<label>3</label>
<addr-line>Graduate School of Green Growth and Sustainability, KAIST, Daejeon, Korea</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff4">
<label>4</label>
<addr-line>Graduate School of Environmental Studies, Seoul National University, Seoul, Korea</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff5">
<label>5</label>
<addr-line>Environmental Planning Institute, Seoul National University, Seoul, Korea</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff6">
<label>6</label>
<addr-line>Department of Technology Fusion Engineering, Konkuk University, Seoul, Korea</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>09</day>
<month>01</month>
<year>2026</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2026</volume>
<fpage>1</fpage>
<lpage>24</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2026 Yen Shin et al.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2026</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2025-5305/">This article is available from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2025-5305/</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2025-5305/egusphere-2025-5305.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2025-5305/egusphere-2025-5305.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>Integrated Assessment Models (IAMs) are essential tools for projecting future environmental variables under diverse environmental, economic, and technological scenarios. However, their computational intensity limits accessibility and application scope. We present ML-IAM v1.0, the first machine learning emulator trained on the IPCC AR6 Scenarios Database to replicate IAM functionality across diverse model families. Our best-performing model, XGBoost, achieves an &lt;em&gt;R&amp;sup2;&lt;/em&gt; of 0.97 against original IAM data, outperforming the more complex models Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and Temporal Fusion Transformer (TFT). ML-IAM v1.0 generates results for 2,000 scenarios in 50 seconds and can produce predictions for any IAM family. This enables rapid exploration of climate scenarios, complementing traditional IAMs with efficient, scalable computation.</p>
</abstract>
<counts><page-count count="24"/></counts>
<funding-group>
<award-group id="gs1">
<funding-source>Korea Environmental Industry and Technology Institute</funding-source>
<award-id>RS-2023-00232066</award-id>
</award-group>
</funding-group>
</article-meta>
</front>
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