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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">EGUsphere</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>EGUsphere</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub"></issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/egusphere-2025-5209</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>Model Assessment of Winter Extratropical Cyclone Short-Term Impacts on the Antarctic Marginal Ice Zone</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Day</surname>
<given-names>Noah Shepherd</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4176-7956</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>O'Farrel</surname>
<given-names>Siobhan Patricia</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Bennetts</surname>
<given-names>Luke George</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9386-7882</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne, 3010, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>CSIRO Environment, Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation, 3195, Aspendale, Victoria, Australia</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>11</day>
<month>02</month>
<year>2026</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2026</volume>
<fpage>1</fpage>
<lpage>36</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2026 Noah Shepherd Day et al.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2026</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2025-5209/">This article is available from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2025-5209/</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2025-5209/egusphere-2025-5209.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2025-5209/egusphere-2025-5209.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>The Antarctic marginal ice zone (MIZ) is the transitional region between the Antarctic sea ice edge and the consolidated ice cover, which is characterised by the presence of ocean surface waves and relatively small ice floes, and is a region where atmospheric and oceanic processes strongly influence sea ice dynamics. Extratropical polar cyclones intensify these processes by amplifying wave activity, transporting heat and moisture, and driving sea ice drift across the MIZ. Here, the CICE sea ice model with a wave propagation module is used at a 0.25&amp;deg; resolution to analyse statistically the impact of &amp;sim;400 cyclones on the location of the Antarctic ice edge and MIZ width. Cyclone-driven winds cause sudden shifts of &amp;sim;20 km in the ice edge location, through both compaction and expansion, with expansion events more effective in early winter and compaction later. MIZ widening is primarily driven by short-lived, major wave-induced breakup events, which increase the MIZ width by &amp;sim;30 km on average, with greater breakup associated with greater widening. Extreme ice edge changes result from the combined influence of sea ice drift and thermodynamics, whereas extreme MIZ width changes are primarily governed by the presence or absence of wave activity. These findings highlight the varied yet pronounced responses of the Antarctic MIZ to extratropical cyclones and underscore the critical role of waves in shaping the boundary between the MIZ and the consolidated ice pack, reinforcing the need to account for wave impacts in future studies.</p>
</abstract>
<counts><page-count count="36"/></counts>
<funding-group>
<award-group id="gs1">
<funding-source>Australian Research Council</funding-source>
<award-id>DP240100325</award-id>
</award-group>
<award-group id="gs2">
<funding-source>Australian Research Council</funding-source>
<award-id>FT190100404</award-id>
</award-group>
</funding-group>
</article-meta>
</front>
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