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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">EGUsphere</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>EGUsphere</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub"></issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/egusphere-2025-6338</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>Left- and right-moving supercell dynamics, environments and hazards &amp;ndash; today and in future</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Feldmann</surname>
<given-names>Monika</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8123-5415</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Beer</surname>
<given-names>Sandro</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Zeeb</surname>
<given-names>Aaron W.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0009-0005-4519-9329</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Brennan</surname>
<given-names>Killian P.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4850-3478</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Wilhelm</surname>
<given-names>Lena</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2666-8378</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Martius</surname>
<given-names>Olivia</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8645-4702</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>Oeschger Centre for Climate Change Research and Institute of Geography, University of Bern, Switzerland</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Central Michigan University, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff3">
<label>3</label>
<addr-line>Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Sciences, ETH Zürich, Switzerland</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff4">
<label>4</label>
<addr-line>now at: Institute of Geography – Oeschger Centre for Climate Change Research, Switzerland</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>28</day>
<month>12</month>
<year>2025</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2025</volume>
<fpage>1</fpage>
<lpage>25</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2025 Monika Feldmann et al.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2025</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2025/egusphere-2025-6338/">This article is available from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2025/egusphere-2025-6338/</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2025/egusphere-2025-6338/egusphere-2025-6338.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2025/egusphere-2025-6338/egusphere-2025-6338.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>Supercell thunderstorms are among the most hazardous and damaging weather phenomena in Europe. However, little information is available on the relationship between supercell morphology and environmental conditions in Europe. We dissect supercell morphology, the changes in environmental conditions, and the subsequent changes in associated hazardous weather using numerical simulations of the current and a warmer climate at 2 km grid resolution. Comparing right- (RM) and left-moving (LM) storms, we find that RMs have a more coherent storm structure and larger high-intensity areas, and their motion deviates stronger from the mean flow compared to LMs. LMs occur in a narrower range of environmental conditions, namely in hotter and less stable environments compared to RMs. Overall, in the warmer climate the pre-storm environment becomes less stable, and deep-layer shear increases. Accordingly, hazards associated with supercells such as lightning, wind gusts, intense precipitation, and hail size all increase. RMs and LMs reach similar hazard intensities, while RMs tend to have larger high-hazard areas than LMs. The increase in hazard severity in the warmer climate is more pronounced for LMs, particularly for hail area and lightning intensity. A regional decomposition sheds further light on factors that influence the intensity of supercell hazards in different climate regions.</p>
</abstract>
<counts><page-count count="25"/></counts>
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