<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<!DOCTYPE article PUBLIC "-//NLM//DTD Journal Publishing DTD v3.0 20080202//EN" "https://jats.nlm.nih.gov/nlm-dtd/publishing/3.0/journalpublishing3.dtd">
<article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" article-type="research-article" specific-use="SMUR" dtd-version="3.0" xml:lang="en">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">EGUsphere</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>EGUsphere</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub">1991-962X</issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/egusphere-2025-4990</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>Stratospheric aerosol forcing for CMIP7 (part 1): Optical properties for pre-industrial, historical, and scenario simulations (version 2.2.1)</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Aubry</surname>
<given-names>Thomas Jacques</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9275-4293</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff16">
<sup>16</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Toohey</surname>
<given-names>Matthew</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7070-405X</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Khanal</surname>
<given-names>Sujan</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9162-9095</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Chim</surname>
<given-names>Man Mei</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3871-0481</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Verkerk</surname>
<given-names>Magali</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0009-0008-2596-9447</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff16">
<sup>16</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Johnson</surname>
<given-names>Ben</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3334-9295</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Schmidt</surname>
<given-names>Anja</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff5">
<sup>5</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff6">
<sup>6</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Kovilakam</surname>
<given-names>Mahesh</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6145-9304</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff7">
<sup>7</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff8">
<sup>8</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Sigl</surname>
<given-names>Michael</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff9">
<sup>9</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Nicholls</surname>
<given-names>Zebedee</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4767-2723</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff10">
<sup>10</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff11">
<sup>11</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff12">
<sup>12</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Thomason</surname>
<given-names>Larry</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1902-0840</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff7">
<sup>7</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff17">
<sup>17</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Naik</surname>
<given-names>Vaishali</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff13">
<sup>13</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Rieger</surname>
<given-names>Landon</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9980-7095</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff8">
<sup>8</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Stiller</surname>
<given-names>Dominik</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0009-0003-3206-3735</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff14">
<sup>14</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Ziegler</surname>
<given-names>Elisa</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7252-3332</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff15">
<sup>15</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Smith</surname>
<given-names>Isabel</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff16">
<sup>16</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of Exeter, Penryn, UK</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>Institute of Space and Atmospheric Studies, University of Saskatchewan, Saskatoon, S7N 5A2, Canada</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff3">
<label>3</label>
<addr-line>Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff4">
<label>4</label>
<addr-line>Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, UK</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff5">
<label>5</label>
<addr-line>Institute of Atmospheric Physics (IPA), German Aerospace Center (DLR), Oberpfaffenhofen, Germany</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff6">
<label>6</label>
<addr-line>Meteorological Institute, Ludwig Maximilian University of Munich, Munich, Germany</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff7">
<label>7</label>
<addr-line>NASA Langley Research Center, Hampton Virginia USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff8">
<label>8</label>
<addr-line>Environment and Climate Change Canada, Victoria BC, CA</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff9">
<label>9</label>
<addr-line>Institute of History &amp; Oeschger Centre for Climate Change Research, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff10">
<label>10</label>
<addr-line>Climate Resource, Berlin, Germany</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff11">
<label>11</label>
<addr-line>Energy, Climate and Environment Program, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), 2361 Laxenburg,  Austria</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff12">
<label>12</label>
<addr-line>School of Geography, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff13">
<label>13</label>
<addr-line>Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton NJ, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff14">
<label>14</label>
<addr-line>Department of Atmospheric and Climate Science, University of Washington, Seattle WA, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff15">
<label>15</label>
<addr-line>Department of Geosciences, University of Tübingen, Tübingen, Germany</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff16">
<label>16</label>
<addr-line>now at: Department of Earth Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff17">
<label>17</label>
<addr-line>retired</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>16</day>
<month>10</month>
<year>2025</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2025</volume>
<fpage>1</fpage>
<lpage>53</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2025 Thomas Jacques Aubry et al.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2025</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2025/egusphere-2025-4990/">This article is available from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2025/egusphere-2025-4990/</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2025/egusphere-2025-4990/egusphere-2025-4990.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2025/egusphere-2025-4990/egusphere-2025-4990.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>Stratospheric aerosols, most of which originate from explosive volcanic sulfur emissions into the stratosphere, are a key natural driver of climate variability. They are thus a forcing provided by the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP) Climate Forcings Task Team to climate modelling groups participating in phase 7 of CMIP. For the historical period, we provide two datasets covering 1750&amp;ndash;2023: i) a volcanic upper tropospheric-stratospheric sulfur emission dataset, documented in a companion paper; and ii) a stratospheric sulfate aerosol optical property dataset, which we document here at version 2.2.1. For the satellite era (from 1979 onwards), stratospheric aerosol optical properties are derived from the Global Space-based Stratospheric Aerosol Climatology (GloSSAC) dataset. For the pre-satellite era (1750&amp;ndash;1978), optical properties are derived from our volcanic SO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt; emission dataset using a new version of the reduced-complexity volcanic aerosol model Easy Volcanic Aerosol (Height) (EVA_H). A background, non-volcanic stratospheric aerosol climatology is derived from the 1998&amp;ndash;2001 period with a trend over 1850&amp;ndash;1978 accounting for increasing anthropogenic aerosols. A monthly stratospheric aerosol climatology is derived from the 1850&amp;ndash;2021 average for both pre-industrial and Scenario (future) simulations, with a 9-year ramp over 2022&amp;ndash;2030 for scenario simulations to ensure a smooth transition from the historical period. Our methodology to produce historical aerosol optical properties significantly differs from CMIP6 for the pre-satellite era, and the resulting forcings in turn largely differ. In particular, the CMIP6 dataset was mostly based on the sparse and uncertain pyrheliometer record, which resulted in strongly underrepresented emissions from small-to-moderate magnitude eruptions. The resulting bias is addressed in CMIP7, which is entirely emission-derived in the pre-satellite era and uses more recent ice-core-based volcanic sulfur emission inventories than CMIP6. Our approach results in an overall larger volcanic aerosol forcing for CMIP7, with the 1850&amp;ndash;2014 mean mid-visible global mean stratospheric aerosol optical depth (SAOD) in CMIP7 (0.0138) being 29 % higher than in CMIP6 (0.0107). The pre-industrial mean of the same variable is 26 % higher in CMIP7 (0.0135, derived from the historical 1850&amp;ndash;2021) than CMIP6 (0.0107, derived from the historical 1850&amp;ndash;2014 mean). Using a reduced-complexity climate model, we simulate a global mean surface temperature that is 0.07 &amp;deg;C colder for 1850&amp;ndash;1900 when using the CMIP7 dataset instead of CMIP6, whereas 2000&amp;ndash;2014 is 0.03 &amp;deg;C warmer in CMIP7. Our dataset also exhibits lower forcing for 1960&amp;ndash;1980, resulting in temperatures 0.06 &amp;deg;C warmer when averaged over 1960&amp;ndash;1990, a period for which CMIP6 climate models exhibit a cold bias. Given the large uncertainties characterizing the dataset, in particular for the pre-satellite era, we advise against treating the CMIP7 or CMIP6 dataset as uniquely superior for any specific year and highlight the need for further evaluation. We conclude the study by discussing sources of uncertainty for the dataset, future research avenues to improve it, as well as requirements to operationalize the production of the dataset, i.e. extend it and update it on an annual basis instead of every 5&amp;ndash;7 years following CMIP cycles.</p>
</abstract>
<counts><page-count count="53"/></counts>
<funding-group>
<award-group id="gs1">
<funding-source>European Space Agency</funding-source>
<award-id>4000145911/24/I-LR</award-id>
<award-id>4000146681/24/I-LR-cl</award-id>
</award-group>
<award-group id="gs2">
<funding-source>Canadian Space Agency</funding-source>
<award-id>21SUASOCSA</award-id>
</award-group>
<award-group id="gs3">
<funding-source>Croucher Foundation</funding-source>
<award-id>Croucher postdoctoral fellowship</award-id>
</award-group>
<award-group id="gs4">
<funding-source>Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft</funding-source>
<award-id>395588486</award-id>
</award-group>
<award-group id="gs5">
<funding-source>Bundesministerium für Bildung, Wissenschaft, Forschung und Technologie</funding-source>
<award-id>01LP2310A</award-id>
</award-group>
<award-group id="gs6">
<funding-source>European Research Council</funding-source>
<award-id>820047</award-id>
<award-id>101003536</award-id>
</award-group>
<award-group id="gs7">
<funding-source>U.S. Department of Energy</funding-source>
<award-id>DE-1180AC52-07NA27344</award-id>
</award-group>
<award-group id="gs8">
<funding-source>Department for Science, Innovation and Technology</funding-source>
<award-id>n/a</award-id>
</award-group>
<award-group id="gs9">
<funding-source>National Science Foundation</funding-source>
<award-id>2202526</award-id>
</award-group>
</funding-group>
</article-meta>
</front>
<body/>
<back>
</back>
</article>