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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">EGUsphere</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>EGUsphere</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub"></issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/egusphere-2025-3795</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>Simultaneous versus sequential estimation of biogeochemical and physical parameters in coupled marine ecosystem models</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Kern</surname>
<given-names>Skyler</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0009-0005-1437-7196</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>McGuinn</surname>
<given-names>Mary E.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0009-0000-5960-0156</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Smith</surname>
<given-names>Katherine M.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1603-7727</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Pinardi</surname>
<given-names>Nadia</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4765-0775</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Niemeyer</surname>
<given-names>Kyle E.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4425-7097</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff5">
<sup>5</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Lovenduski</surname>
<given-names>Nicole S.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5893-1009</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff6">
<sup>6</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Hamlington</surname>
<given-names>Peter E.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0189-9372</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>Mechanical Engineering Department, University of Alaska, Anchorage, AK, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>Paul M. Rady Department of Mechanical Engineering, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff3">
<label>3</label>
<addr-line>Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff4">
<label>4</label>
<addr-line>Department of Physics and Astronomy, University of Bologna, Bologna, IT</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff5">
<label>5</label>
<addr-line>School of Mechanical, Industrial, and Manufacturing Engineering, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff6">
<label>6</label>
<addr-line>Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences and Institute of Arctic and Alpine Research, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>29</day>
<month>08</month>
<year>2025</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2025</volume>
<fpage>1</fpage>
<lpage>30</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2025 Skyler Kern et al.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2025</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2025/egusphere-2025-3795/">This article is available from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2025/egusphere-2025-3795/</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2025/egusphere-2025-3795/egusphere-2025-3795.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2025/egusphere-2025-3795/egusphere-2025-3795.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>As computational resources have increased in availability and capability, so has the complexity of the models used to represent biogeochemical (BGC) processes in ocean simulations. To effectively calibrate the increasingly large number of uncertain parameters in these models, efficient parameter estimation methods are needed to ensure that the models can accurately represent the BGC processes under investigation. In this study, we address this challenge using a multistage automatic parameter estimation methodology that sequentially applies global sampling and local optimization to calibrate both the BGC model parameters and the parameters associated with the mathematical representation of physical ocean dynamics. We quantitatively compare the accuracy of sequential and simultaneous parameter estimations of moderately complex BGC and physical models at locations corresponding to the Bermuda Atlantic time series and the Hawaii Ocean time series. The results show that the best overall agreement with the observational data is obtained when the BGC and physical model parameters are estimated simultaneously, rather than sequentially. In particular, simultaneous estimation results in significantly improved predictions of oxygen and particulate organic nitrogen. Moreover, the agreement is improved in general when the physical model is included in the estimation, as opposed to calibrating the BGC model alone. This study also serves as a demonstration of a meta-algorithm for performing parameter estimation in high-dimensional models with local optimization approaches.</p>
</abstract>
<counts><page-count count="30"/></counts>
<funding-group>
<award-group id="gs1">
<funding-source>National Science Foundation</funding-source>
<award-id>OCE-1924636</award-id>
<award-id>OCE-1924636</award-id>
<award-id>NSF 18-573</award-id>
</award-group>
</funding-group>
</article-meta>
</front>
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