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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">EGUsphere</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>EGUsphere</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub"></issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/egusphere-2025-2404</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>Persisted PM&lt;sub&gt;2.5&lt;/sub&gt; pollution in the Pearl River Delta, South China, in the 2015&amp;ndash;2017 cold seasons: The dominant role of meteorological changes during the El Ni&amp;ntilde;o-to-La Ni&amp;ntilde;a transition over emission reduction</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Qu</surname>
<given-names>Kun</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9760-2299</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Wang</surname>
<given-names>Xuesong</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Yan</surname>
<given-names>Yu</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Jin</surname>
<given-names>Xipeng</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff5">
<sup>5</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>He</surname>
<given-names>Ling-Yan</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff6">
<sup>6</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Huang</surname>
<given-names>Xiao-Feng</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff6">
<sup>6</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Cai</surname>
<given-names>Xuhui</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Shen</surname>
<given-names>Jin</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff7">
<sup>7</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Peng</surname>
<given-names>Zimu</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Xiao</surname>
<given-names>Teng</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Vrekoussis</surname>
<given-names>Mihalis</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8292-8352</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff8">
<sup>8</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff9">
<sup>9</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Kanakidou</surname>
<given-names>Maria</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1724-9692</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff10">
<sup>10</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff11">
<sup>11</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Brasseur</surname>
<given-names>Guy P.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6794-9497</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff12">
<sup>12</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff13">
<sup>13</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Daskalakis</surname>
<given-names>Nikos</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2409-0392</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Zeng</surname>
<given-names>Limin</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Zhang</surname>
<given-names>Yuanhang</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff14">
<sup>14</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff15">
<sup>15</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>College of Environmental Sciences and Engineering, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>International Joint Laboratory for Regional Pollution Control, Ministry of Education, Beijing 100816, China</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff3">
<label>3</label>
<addr-line>Institute of Environmental Physics (IUP-UB), University of Bremen, Bremen, Germany</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff4">
<label>4</label>
<addr-line>Sichuan Academy of Environmental Policy and Planning, Chengdu 610041, China</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff5">
<label>5</label>
<addr-line>Collaborative Innovation Center of Atmospheric Environment and Equipment Technology, Jiangsu Key Laboratory of   Atmospheric Environment Monitoring and Pollution Control, School of Environmental Science and Engineering, Nanjing University of Information Science &amp; Technology, Nanjing 210044, China</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff6">
<label>6</label>
<addr-line>Key Laboratory for Urban Habitat Environmental Science and Technology, School of Environment and Energy, Peking  University Shenzhen Graduate School, Shenzhen 518055, China</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff7">
<label>7</label>
<addr-line>State Key Laboratory of Regional Air Quality Monitoring, Guangdong Key Laboratory of Secondary Air Pollution  Research, Guangdong Environmental Monitoring Center, Guangzhou 510308, China</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff8">
<label>8</label>
<addr-line>Center of Marine Environmental Science (MARUM), University of Bremen, Germany</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff9">
<label>9</label>
<addr-line>Climate and Atmosphere Research Center (CARE-C), The Cyprus Institute, Nicosia, Cyprus</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff10">
<label>10</label>
<addr-line>Environmental Chemical Processes Laboratory (ECPL), Department of Chemistry, University of Crete, Heraklion, Greece</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff11">
<label>11</label>
<addr-line>Center of Studies of Air quality and Climate Change, Institute for Chemical Engineering Sciences, Foundation for  Research and Technology Hellas, Patras, Greece</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff12">
<label>12</label>
<addr-line>Environmental Modeling Group, Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff13">
<label>13</label>
<addr-line>Atmospheric Chemistry Observations and Modeling Laboratory, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder,  Colorado, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff14">
<label>14</label>
<addr-line>Beijing Innovation Center for Engineering Science and Advanced Technology, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff15">
<label>15</label>
<addr-line>CAS Center for Excellence in Regional Atmospheric Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Xiamen 361021, China</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>16</day>
<month>06</month>
<year>2025</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2025</volume>
<fpage>1</fpage>
<lpage>38</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2025 Kun Qu et al.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2025</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2025/egusphere-2025-2404/">This article is available from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2025/egusphere-2025-2404/</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2025/egusphere-2025-2404/egusphere-2025-2404.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2025/egusphere-2025-2404/egusphere-2025-2404.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>Effective air quality management requires a comprehensive understanding of how meteorological variability and emission changes shape multiannual changes in regional PM&lt;sub&gt;2.5&lt;/sub&gt; pollution. During the cold seasons of 2015&amp;ndash;2017, persistent PM&lt;sub&gt;2.5&lt;/sub&gt; pollution occurred in the Pearl River Delta (PRD), South China, despite rapid emission reductions. This study systematically investigated the interconnections between climate variability, meteorology, PM&lt;sub&gt;2.5&lt;/sub&gt; levels, source contributions and budgets during these periods, aiming to uncover the detailed impacts of meteorological and emission changes on PM&lt;sub&gt;2.5&lt;/sub&gt; pollution. We found that drastic meteorological changes, closely linked to a transition from strong El Ni&amp;ntilde;o (2015) to weak/moderate La Ni&amp;ntilde;a (2017), were the main drivers of the three-year PM&lt;sub&gt;2.5&lt;/sub&gt; changes. Strengthened northerly winds and reduced humidity enhanced cross-regional PM&lt;sub&gt;2.5&lt;/sub&gt; transport into the PRD while concurrently suppressing local PM&lt;sub&gt;2.5&lt;/sub&gt; production and accumulation. WRF/CMAQ simulations indicate that transport (non-local) contributions to PM&lt;sub&gt;2.5&lt;/sub&gt; in the PRD increased from 70 % in 2015 to 74 % in 2016 and 78 % in 2017. While the transport of secondary inorganic PM&lt;sub&gt;2.5&lt;/sub&gt; components overall intensified, their responses to meteorological and emission changes varied: Variations in sulfate were more sensitive to emission reductions outside the PRD, whereas those for nitrate were primarily driven by meteorological shifts. Simulated PM&lt;sub&gt;2.5&lt;/sub&gt; mass budgets further support the increasing dominance of transport, especially via advections. Our findings underscore the potentially crucial role of meteorological variability in driving multiannual PM&lt;sub&gt;2.5&lt;/sub&gt; pollution changes in the PRD and other regions strongly impacted by cross-regional transport, emphasizing the necessity for regionally coordinated emission control strategies to effectively mitigate PM&lt;sub&gt;2.5&lt;/sub&gt; pollution.</p>
</abstract>
<counts><page-count count="38"/></counts>
<funding-group>
<award-group id="gs1">
<funding-source>National Key Research and Development Program of China</funding-source>
<award-id>2023YFC3708601</award-id>
<award-id>2018YFC0213204</award-id>
</award-group>
<award-group id="gs2">
<funding-source>Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft</funding-source>
<award-id>University Allowance, EXC 2077, University of Bremen</award-id>
<award-id>448720203</award-id>
</award-group>
</funding-group>
</article-meta>
</front>
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<back>
</back>
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