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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">EGUsphere</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>EGUsphere</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub"></issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/egusphere-2025-1284</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>Uncertainty Assessment in Deep Learning-based Plant Trait Retrievals from Hyperspectral data</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Cherif</surname>
<given-names>Eya</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Kattenborn</surname>
<given-names>Teja</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7381-3828</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff5">
<sup>5</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Brown</surname>
<given-names>Luke A.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4807-9056</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff6">
<sup>6</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Ewald</surname>
<given-names>Michael</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff7">
<sup>7</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Berger</surname>
<given-names>Katja</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff8">
<sup>8</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Dao</surname>
<given-names>Phuong D.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3712-9022</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff9">
<sup>9</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff10">
<sup>10</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff11">
<sup>11</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Hank</surname>
<given-names>Tobias B.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff12">
<sup>12</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Laliberté</surname>
<given-names>Etienne</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff13">
<sup>13</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Lu</surname>
<given-names>Bing</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff14">
<sup>14</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Feilhauer</surname>
<given-names>Hannes</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>Institute for Earth system Science and Remote Sensing, Leipzig University, Leipzig, 04103, Germany</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>Center for scalable data analytics and artificial intelligence (ScaDS.AI), Leipzig University, 04105, Leipzig, Germany</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff3">
<label>3</label>
<addr-line>German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv), Halle-Jena-Leipzig, Germany</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff4">
<label>4</label>
<addr-line>Helmholtz-Centre for Environmental Research (UFZ), 04318, Leipzig, Germany</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff5">
<label>5</label>
<addr-line>Sensor-based Geoinformatics (geosense), University of Freiburg, 79116, Freiburg, Germany</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff6">
<label>6</label>
<addr-line>School of Science, Engineering &amp; Environment, University of Salford, Manchester, M5 4WT, UK</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff7">
<label>7</label>
<addr-line>Institute of Geography and Geoecology, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), 76131 Karlsruhe, Germany</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff8">
<label>8</label>
<addr-line>GFZ Helmholtz Centre for Geosciences, Potsdam, 14473, Germany</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff9">
<label>9</label>
<addr-line>Department of Agricultural Biology, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO 80523, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff10">
<label>10</label>
<addr-line>Graduate Degree Program in Ecology, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO 80523, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff11">
<label>11</label>
<addr-line>School of Global Environmental Sustainability, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO 80523, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff12">
<label>12</label>
<addr-line>Department of Geography, Faculty of Geosciences, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universit¨at München (LMU), 80333, Munich,  Germany</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff13">
<label>13</label>
<addr-line>Département de Sciences Biologiques et Institut de Recherche en Biologie Végétale, Université de Montréal, Montréal,  H1X 2B2, Canada</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff14">
<label>14</label>
<addr-line>Department of Geography, Simon Fraser University, Burnaby, BC V5A 1S6, Canada</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>09</day>
<month>04</month>
<year>2025</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2025</volume>
<fpage>1</fpage>
<lpage>35</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2025 Eya Cherif et al.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2025</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2025/egusphere-2025-1284/">This article is available from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2025/egusphere-2025-1284/</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2025/egusphere-2025-1284/egusphere-2025-1284.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2025/egusphere-2025-1284/egusphere-2025-1284.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>The large-scale mapping of plant biophysical and biochemical traits is essential for ecological and environmental applications. Given its finer spectral resolution and unprecedented data availability, hyperspectral data has emerged as a promising, non-destructive tool for accurately retrieving these traits. Machine and particularly deep learning models have shown strong potential in retrieving plant traits from hyperspectral data. However, when deploying these methods at large scales, reliably quantifying associated uncertainty remains a critical challenge, especially when models encounter out-of-domain (OOD) data, such as unseen geographic regions, species, biomes, or data acquisition modalities. Traditional uncertainty quantification methods for deep learning models, including deep ensembles (Ens_UN) and Monte Carlo dropout (MCdrop_UN), rely on the variance of predictions but often fail to capture uncertainty in OOD scenarios, leading to overoptimistic and potentially misleading uncertainty estimates. To address this limitation, we propose a distance-based uncertainty estimation method (Dis_UN) that quantifies prediction uncertainty by measuring dissimilarity in the predictor and embedding space between training and test data. Dis_UN leverages residuals as a proxy for uncertainty and employs dissimilarity indices in data manifolds to estimate worst-case errors via 95-quantile regression. We evaluate Dis_UN on a pre-trained deep learning model for prediction of multiple plant traits from hyperspectral images, analyzing its performance across OOD data, such as pixels containing spectral variation from urban surfaces, bare ground, water, clouds or open surface waters. For this study we target six leaf and canopy traits: Leaf mass per area (LMA), Chlorophyll (Chl), Carotenoids (Car), Nitrogen (N) content, Leaf area index (LAI) and Equivalent water thickness (EWT). Results indicate that Dis_UN effectively differentiates between OOD components and provides more reliable uncertainty estimates than traditional methods, which tend to underestimate the range of uncertainty (on average over traits 26.7 % for Ens_UN and 6.5 % for Dropout_UN). However, challenges remain for traits affected by spectral saturation. These findings highlight the advantages of distance-aware uncertainty quantification methods and underscore the necessity of diverse training datasets to minimize sampling biases and enhance model robustness. The proposed framework improves the reliability of uncertainty estimation in vegetation monitoring and offers a promising approach for broader applications.</p>
</abstract>
<counts><page-count count="35"/></counts>
<funding-group>
<award-group id="gs1">
<funding-source>Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung</funding-source>
<award-id>Center for Scalable Data Analytics and Artificial Intelligence Dresden/Leipzig</award-id>
</award-group>
<award-group id="gs2">
<funding-source>Sächsisches Staatsministerium für Wissenschaft und Kunst</funding-source>
<award-id>Center for Scalable Data Analytics and Artificial Intelligence Dresden/Leipzig</award-id>
</award-group>
</funding-group>
</article-meta>
</front>
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