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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">EGUsphere</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>EGUsphere</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub"></issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/egusphere-2025-1159</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>Physical drivers and trends of the recent delayed withdrawal of the Southwest Monsoon over Mainland Indochina</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Than Oo</surname>
<given-names>Kyaw</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1727-3462</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Haishan</surname>
<given-names>Chen</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2403-3187</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Jonah</surname>
<given-names>Kazora</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Xinguan</surname>
<given-names>Du</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>Key Laboratory of Meteorological Disaster, Ministry of Education/Joint International Research Laboratory of Climate and Environment Change/Collaborative Innovation Center on Forecast and  Evaluation of Meteorological Disasters, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology,  Nanjing, 210044, People’s Republic of China</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>Aviation Weather Services, Yangon, Myanmar</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff3">
<label>3</label>
<addr-line>Rwanda Meteorology Agency, Kigali, Rwanda</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>16</day>
<month>04</month>
<year>2025</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2025</volume>
<fpage>1</fpage>
<lpage>29</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2025 Kyaw Than Oo et al.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2025</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2025/egusphere-2025-1159/">This article is available from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2025/egusphere-2025-1159/</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2025/egusphere-2025-1159/egusphere-2025-1159.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2025/egusphere-2025-1159/egusphere-2025-1159.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>The study investigates the key factors that cause the Mainland Indochina Southwest Monsoon (MSwM) to delay withdrawal, utilizing a spatial trend correlation between the monsoon index and various meteorological and oceanic variables such as sea surface temperature (SST), zonal winds, and moisture transport. A significant strengthening trend in the Subtropical Westerly jet (SWJ) and a weakening Tropical Easterly jet (TEJ) not only impacts regional wind patterns but also delays the monsoon departure. The anomalous South China Sea and the equatorial Indo-Pacific Ocean surface temperature (SSTA) further contribute to these delayed withdrawals, and there is a significant correlation between the MSwM withdrawal index and SSTA, moisture transport, and essential atmospheric factors. The results clarify MSwM dynamics, offering significant insights for future climate research associated with MSwM. The study also suggests that the variability of ocean-atmosphere interactions and local atmospheric circulation patterns is critical for understanding monsoon variability, which has a potential impact on climate predictions, water resource management, and agriculture practices over Mainland Indochina.</p>
</abstract>
<counts><page-count count="29"/></counts>
<funding-group>
<award-group id="gs1">
<funding-source>National Natural Science Foundation of China</funding-source>
<award-id>42088101</award-id>
</award-group>
</funding-group>
</article-meta>
</front>
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