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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">EGUsphere</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>EGUsphere</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub"></issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/egusphere-2025-1051</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>Farmers&apos; adaptive capacity towards soil salinity effects using hybrid machine learning in the Red River Delta</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Nguyen</surname>
<given-names>Huu Duy</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Dang</surname>
<given-names>Dinh Kha</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Lai</surname>
<given-names>Thi Anh Tam</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Tran</surname>
<given-names>Duc Dung</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff5">
<sup>5</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Shahabi</surname>
<given-names>Himan</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5091-6947</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff6">
<sup>6</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Bui</surname>
<given-names>Quang-Thanh</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>Faculty of Geography, VNU University of Science, Vietnam National University, Ha Noi, 334 Nguyen Trai, Thanh Xuan district, Hanoi City, Vietnam</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>Faculty of Hydrology, Meteorology, and Oceanography, VNU University of Science, Vietnam National University, Ha Noi, 334 Nguyen Trai, Thanh Xuan district, Hanoi, Vietnam</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff3">
<label>3</label>
<addr-line>National Institute of Education, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore, Singapore</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff4">
<label>4</label>
<addr-line>Earth Observatory of Singapore and Asian School of the Environment, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore, Singapore</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff5">
<label>5</label>
<addr-line>Center of Water Management and Climate Change, Institute for Environment and Resources, Vietnam National University, Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff6">
<label>6</label>
<addr-line>Departments of Geomorphology, Faculty of Natural Resources, University of Kurdistan</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>21</day>
<month>03</month>
<year>2025</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2025</volume>
<fpage>1</fpage>
<lpage>34</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2025 Huu Duy Nguyen et al.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2025</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2025/egusphere-2025-1051/">This article is available from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2025/egusphere-2025-1051/</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2025/egusphere-2025-1051/egusphere-2025-1051.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2025/egusphere-2025-1051/egusphere-2025-1051.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>Soil salinity is a grave environmental threat to agricultural development and food security in large parts of the world, especially in the situation of global warming and sea level rise. Reliable information on the adaptive capacity of farms plays a key role in reducing the socioeconomic effects of soil salinization and helps policymakers and farmers propose more appropriate measures to combat the phenomenon. The aim of the research is to design a theoretical framework to assess soil salinity and farmers&apos; adaptive capacity, based on machine learning, optimization algorithms (namely Xgboost (XGB), XGB- Pelican Optimization Algorithm (POA), XGB- Siberian Tiger Optimization (STO), XGB- Serval Optimization Algorithm (SOA), XGB- Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO), and XGB- Grasshopper Optimization Algorithm (GOA)), remote sensing, and interviews with local people. The geographical distribution of soil salinity was evaluated by applying machine learning Sentinel 1 and 2A. The adaptive capacity of farmers was evaluated through interviews with 87 households. The statistical indices, namely the mean absolute error (MAE), the root mean square error (RMSE), and the correlation coefficient (R&amp;sup2;) were used to assess the machine learning models. The outcome of this study demonstrated that all optimization algorithms were successful in improving the accuracy of the XGB model. The XGB-POA was the most performance, with an R&lt;sup&gt;2&lt;/sup&gt; value of 0.968, followed by XGB-STO (R&amp;sup2; = 0.967), XGB-SOA (R&amp;sup2; = 0.966), XGB-PSO (R&lt;sup&gt;2&lt;/sup&gt; = 0.964), and XGB-GOA (R&amp;sup2; = 0.964), respectively. The soil salinity map produced by the proposed models also indicated that the coastal and riverside regions were the most affected by soil salinity. The results also showed human and financial resources to be the two most important factors influencing the adaptive capacity of farmers. This study offers a key theoretical framework that supplements the previous studies and can support policy-markers and farmers in land resource management, for example accurately identifying areas affected by soil salinity for agricultural development in the context of climate change. In addition, this research highlights the importance of integrating machine learning, remote sensing, and socio-economic surveys in soil salinity management, which can support farmers for sustainable agricultural development.</p>
</abstract>
<counts><page-count count="34"/></counts>
<funding-group>
<award-group id="gs1">
<funding-source>National Foundation for Science and Technology Development</funding-source>
<award-id>105.08-2023.13</award-id>
</award-group>
</funding-group>
</article-meta>
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