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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">EGUsphere</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>EGUsphere</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub"></issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/egusphere-2024-397</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>Modelling of post-monsoon drying in Nepal: implications for landslide hazard</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Van Wyk de Vries</surname>
<given-names>Maximillian</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7752-8813</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Li</surname>
<given-names>Sihan</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2479-8665</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Arrell</surname>
<given-names>Katherine</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff5">
<sup>5</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Baniya</surname>
<given-names>Jeevan</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7164-3957</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff6">
<sup>6</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Basnet</surname>
<given-names>Dipak</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff6">
<sup>6</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Basyal</surname>
<given-names>Gopi K.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff7">
<sup>7</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Bhotia</surname>
<given-names>Nyima Dorjee</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff6">
<sup>6</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Densmore</surname>
<given-names>Alexander L.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0629-6554</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff8">
<sup>8</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Dong</surname>
<given-names>Tek Bahadur</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff6">
<sup>6</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Dunant</surname>
<given-names>Alexandre</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff8">
<sup>8</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Harvey</surname>
<given-names>Erin L.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6167-9438</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff8">
<sup>8</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Jimee</surname>
<given-names>Ganesh K.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff7">
<sup>7</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Kincey</surname>
<given-names>Mark E.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9632-4223</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff9">
<sup>9</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Oven</surname>
<given-names>Katie</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff5">
<sup>5</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Paudyal</surname>
<given-names>Sarmila</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff7">
<sup>7</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Pujara</surname>
<given-names>Dammar Singh</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff7">
<sup>7</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Puri</surname>
<given-names>Anuradha</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff6">
<sup>6</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Shrestha</surname>
<given-names>Ram</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff7">
<sup>7</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Rosser</surname>
<given-names>Nick J.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff8">
<sup>8</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Dadson</surname>
<given-names>Simon J.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>Department of Geography, University of Cambridge, Cambridge CB2 3EL, UK</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>Department of Earth Sciences, University of Cambridge, Cambridge CB3 0EZ, UK</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff3">
<label>3</label>
<addr-line>School of Geography and the Environment, University of Oxford, Oxford OX1 3QY, UK</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff4">
<label>4</label>
<addr-line>Department of Geography, University of Sheffield, Winter St, Sheffield S3 7ND, UK</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff5">
<label>5</label>
<addr-line>Geography and Environmental Sciences, Northumbria University, City Campus, Newcastle upon Tyne, NE1 7RU, UK</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff6">
<label>6</label>
<addr-line>Social Science Baha, 345 Ramchandra Marg, Battisputali, Kathmandu, Nepal</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff7">
<label>7</label>
<addr-line>National Society for Earthquake Technology, Sainbu Bhainsepati Residential Area, Lalitpur 13775, Nepal</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff8">
<label>8</label>
<addr-line>Department of Geography, Durham University, Lower Mountjoy, South Rd, Durham DH1 3LE, UK</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff9">
<label>9</label>
<addr-line>School of Geography, Politic, and Sociology, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne NE1 7RX, UK</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>25</day>
<month>03</month>
<year>2024</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2024</volume>
<fpage>1</fpage>
<lpage>25</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2024 Maximillian Van Wyk de Vries et al.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2024</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2024/egusphere-2024-397/">This article is available from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2024/egusphere-2024-397/</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2024/egusphere-2024-397/egusphere-2024-397.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2024/egusphere-2024-397/egusphere-2024-397.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>Soil moisture is a key preconditioning factor influencing hillslope stability and the initiation of landslides. Direct measurements of soil moisture on a large scale are logistically complicated, expensive, and therefore sparse, resulting in large data gaps. In this study, we calibrate a numerical land surface model to improve our representation of post-monsoon soil drying in landslide-prone Nepal. We use a parameter perturbation experiment to identify optimal parameter sets at three field monitoring sites and evaluate the performance of those optimal parameter sets at each location. This process enables the calibration of key soil hydraulic parameters, in particular a higher hydraulic conductivity and a lower saturation moisture content relative to the default parameter setting. Runs with the calibrated model parameters provide a substantially more accurate (50 % or greater reduction in root mean squared error) soil moisture record than those with the default model parameters, even when calibrated from sites as much as 250 km apart. This process enables meaningful calculation of post-monsoon soil moisture decay at locations with no in situ monitoring, so as to inform a key component of landslide susceptibility mapping in Nepal and other regions where field measurements of soil moisture are limited.</p>
</abstract>
<counts><page-count count="25"/></counts>
<funding-group>
<award-group id="gs1">
<funding-source>UK Research and Innovation</funding-source>
<award-id>NE/T01038X/1</award-id>
</award-group>
</funding-group>
</article-meta>
</front>
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