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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">EGUsphere</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>EGUsphere</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub"></issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/egusphere-2024-378</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>Cropland expansion drives vegetation greenness decline in Southeast Asia</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Zhao</surname>
<given-names>Ruiying</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9549-7181</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Luo</surname>
<given-names>Xiangzhong</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9546-0960</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Yang</surname>
<given-names>Yuheng</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1999-7547</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Syahid</surname>
<given-names>Luri</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2070-9095</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Chen</surname>
<given-names>Chi</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8079-4079</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Lee</surname>
<given-names>Janice</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6368-6212</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>Department of Geography, National University of Singapore, 117570, Singapore</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>Center for Nature-based Climate Solutions, Department of Biological Sciences, National University of Singapore, 117558,  Singapore</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff3">
<label>3</label>
<addr-line>Department of Ecology, Evolution, and Natural Resources, School of Environmental and Biological Sciences, Rutgers  University, New Brunswick, NJ 08901, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff4">
<label>4</label>
<addr-line>Asian School of the Environment and Earth Observatory of Singapore, Nanyang Technological University, 637459, Singapore</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>27</day>
<month>02</month>
<year>2024</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2024</volume>
<fpage>1</fpage>
<lpage>20</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2024 Ruiying Zhao et al.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2024</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2024/egusphere-2024-378/">This article is available from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2024/egusphere-2024-378/</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2024/egusphere-2024-378/egusphere-2024-378.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2024/egusphere-2024-378/egusphere-2024-378.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>Land use and land cover changes (LUCC) is a key factor in determining regional vegetation greenness, impacting terrestrial carbon, water, and energy budgets. As a global hotspot of LUCC, Southeast Asia has experienced intensive cropland and plantation expansions in the past half-century, yet their impacts on regional greenness have not been elucidated. Here, we harmonized multiple land cover datasets, and used satellite-derived leaf area index (LAI) in combination with a machine learning approach to quantify the impacts of LUCC on vegetation greenness in insular Southeast Asia (i.e., Peninsular Malaysia, Sumatra, and Borneo islands). We found that regional LAI shows almost no trend (0.04 &amp;times; 10&lt;sup&gt;-2&lt;/sup&gt; m&lt;sup&gt;2&lt;/sup&gt; m&lt;sup&gt;-2&lt;/sup&gt; yr&lt;sup&gt;-1&lt;/sup&gt;) from 2000 to 2016, as a net effect of increased LAI (+5.71 &amp;times; 10&lt;sup&gt;-2&lt;/sup&gt; m&lt;sup&gt;2&lt;/sup&gt; m&lt;sup&gt;-2&lt;/sup&gt; yr&lt;sup&gt;-1&lt;/sup&gt;) due to CO2 fertilization, offset by decreased LAI mainly due to cropland expansion (-4.46 &amp;times; 10&lt;sup&gt;-2&lt;/sup&gt; m&lt;sup&gt;2&lt;/sup&gt; m&lt;sup&gt;-2&lt;/sup&gt; yr&lt;sup&gt;-1&lt;/sup&gt;). The impact of croplands on greenness in Southeast Asia contrasts with that in India and China. Meanwhile, oil palm expansion and climate change induced only small decreases in LAI in Southeast Asia (-0.41 &amp;times; 10&lt;sup&gt;-2&lt;/sup&gt; m&lt;sup&gt;2&lt;/sup&gt; m&lt;sup&gt;-2&lt;/sup&gt; yr&lt;sup&gt;-1&lt;/sup&gt; and -0.38 &amp;times; 10&lt;sup&gt;-2&lt;/sup&gt; m&lt;sup&gt;2&lt;/sup&gt; m&lt;sup&gt;-2&lt;/sup&gt; yr&lt;sup&gt;-1&lt;/sup&gt;, respectively). Our research unveils how LAI changes with different processes of LUCC in Southeast Asia and offers a quantitative framework to assess vegetation greenness under different land use scenarios.</p>
</abstract>
<counts><page-count count="20"/></counts>
<funding-group>
<award-group id="gs1">
<funding-source>Ministry of Education - Singapore</funding-source>
<award-id>A-8001551-00-00</award-id>
</award-group>
<award-group id="gs2">
<funding-source>Singapore Energy Centre</funding-source>
<award-id>A-8000179-00-00</award-id>
</award-group>
</funding-group>
</article-meta>
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