<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<!DOCTYPE article PUBLIC "-//NLM//DTD Journal Publishing DTD v3.0 20080202//EN" "https://jats.nlm.nih.gov/nlm-dtd/publishing/3.0/journalpublishing3.dtd">
<article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" article-type="research-article" specific-use="SMUR" dtd-version="3.0" xml:lang="en">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">EGUsphere</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>EGUsphere</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub"></issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/egusphere-2024-2436</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>Causal Analysis of Aerosol Impacts on Isolated Deep Convection: Findings from TRACER</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Wang</surname>
<given-names>Dié</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4175-4306</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Kobrosly</surname>
<given-names>Roni</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Zhang</surname>
<given-names>Tao</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Subba</surname>
<given-names>Tamanna</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0319-9751</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>van den Heever</surname>
<given-names>Susan</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9843-3864</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Gupta</surname>
<given-names>Siddhant</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0663-4595</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Jensen</surname>
<given-names>Michael</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4731-6814</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>Brookhaven National Laboratory, Upton, NY 11937</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY 10029</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff3">
<label>3</label>
<addr-line>Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO 80523</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff4">
<label>4</label>
<addr-line>Argonne National Laboratory, Lemont, IL 60439</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>14</day>
<month>08</month>
<year>2024</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2024</volume>
<fpage>1</fpage>
<lpage>43</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2024 Dié Wang et al.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2024</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2024/egusphere-2024-2436/">This article is available from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2024/egusphere-2024-2436/</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2024/egusphere-2024-2436/egusphere-2024-2436.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2024/egusphere-2024-2436/egusphere-2024-2436.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>This study employs a novel application of causal machine learning, specifically g-computation, to quantify aerosol effects on deep convective clouds (DCCs). Focusing on isolated DCCs in the Houston-Galveston region, we leverage comprehensive ground-based observations from the TRacking Aerosol Convection interactions ExpeRiment (TRACER) to estimate aerosol influences on convective core depth, intensity, and area. Our results reveal that greater aerosol number concentrations generally have a limited impact on convective core echo top height (ETH), with an increase of about 1 km (13 % of average ETH). This effect is observed under specific conditions, particularly when ultrafine particles are activated in updraft regions. Additionally, greater aerosol levels correspond to increased convective core intensity and area, though these changes remain within radar measurement uncertainties. In DCCs associated with sea breezes, aerosol effects are more pronounced, resulting in a 1.4 km deepening of ETH. However, this heightened effect could be attributed to the exclusion of key confounders such as boundary layer updrafts in the causal model. This study pioneers the application of causal machine learning to explore aerosol-convection interactions, shedding light on unraveling complex interplay between aerosols and meteorological variables.</p>
</abstract>
<counts><page-count count="43"/></counts>
<funding-group>
<award-group id="gs1">
<funding-source>Biological and Environmental Research</funding-source>
<award-id>DE-SC0012704</award-id>
</award-group>
</funding-group>
</article-meta>
</front>
<body/>
<back>
</back>
</article>