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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">EGUsphere</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>EGUsphere</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub"></issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/egusphere-2024-1322</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>Last Millennium Volcanic Forcing and Climate Response using SO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt; Emissions</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Marshall</surname>
<given-names>Lauren R.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1471-9481</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Schmidt</surname>
<given-names>Anja</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Schurer</surname>
<given-names>Andrew P.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9176-3622</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff5">
<sup>5</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Abraham</surname>
<given-names>Nathan Luke</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3750-3544</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff6">
<sup>6</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Lücke</surname>
<given-names>Lucie J.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6185-4830</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff5">
<sup>5</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Wilson</surname>
<given-names>Rob</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4486-8904</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff7">
<sup>7</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Anchukaitis</surname>
<given-names>Kevin</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8509-8080</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff8">
<sup>8</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Hegerl</surname>
<given-names>Gabriele</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff5">
<sup>5</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Johnson</surname>
<given-names>Ben</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3334-9295</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff9">
<sup>9</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Otto-Bliesner</surname>
<given-names>Bette L.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1911-1598</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff10">
<sup>10</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Brady</surname>
<given-names>Esther C.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7833-2249</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff10">
<sup>10</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Khodri</surname>
<given-names>Myriam</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1941-1646</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff11">
<sup>11</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Yoshida</surname>
<given-names>Kohei</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2422-5584</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff12">
<sup>12</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>Yusuf Hamied Department of Chemistry, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>Department of Earth Sciences, Durham University, Durham, UK</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff3">
<label>3</label>
<addr-line>Institute of Atmospheric Physics (IPA), German Aerospace Center (DLR), Oberpfaffenhofen, Germany</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff4">
<label>4</label>
<addr-line>Meteorological Institute, Ludwig Maximilian University of Munich, Munich, Germany</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff5">
<label>5</label>
<addr-line>School of Geosciences, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff6">
<label>6</label>
<addr-line>National Centre for Atmospheric Science, UK</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff7">
<label>7</label>
<addr-line>School of Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of St Andrews, St Andrews, UK</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff8">
<label>8</label>
<addr-line>School of Geography, Development and Environment and Laboratory of Tree-Ring Research, University of Arizona,  Tucson, AZ, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff9">
<label>9</label>
<addr-line>Met office, Exeter, UK</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff10">
<label>10</label>
<addr-line>Climate and Global Dynamics Laboratory, NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff11">
<label>11</label>
<addr-line>LOCEAN/IPSL, Sorbonne University/IRD/CNRS/MNHN, Paris, France</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff12">
<label>12</label>
<addr-line>Department of Atmosphere, Ocean, and Earth System Modeling, Meteorological Research Institute (MRI), Japan  Meteorological Agency, Tsukuba, Japan</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>03</day>
<month>06</month>
<year>2024</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2024</volume>
<fpage>1</fpage>
<lpage>39</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2024 Lauren R. Marshall et al.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2024</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2024/egusphere-2024-1322/">This article is available from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2024/egusphere-2024-1322/</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2024/egusphere-2024-1322/egusphere-2024-1322.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2024/egusphere-2024-1322/egusphere-2024-1322.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>Climate variability in the last millennium (past 1000 years) is dominated by the effects of large-magnitude volcanic eruptions; however, a long-standing mismatch exists between model-simulated and tree-ring derived surface cooling. Accounting for the self-limiting effects of large sulfur dioxide (SO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt;) injections and the limitations in tree-ring records such as lagged responses due to biological memory reconciles some of the discrepancy, but uncertainties remain particularly for the largest tropical eruptions. The representation of volcanic forcing in the latest generation of climate models has improved significantly, but most models prescribe the aerosol optical properties rather than using SO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt; emissions directly and including interactions between the aerosol, chemistry and dynamics. Here, we use the UK Earth System Model (UKESM) to simulate the climate of the last millennium (1250&amp;ndash;1850) using volcanic SO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt; emissions. Averaged across all large-magnitude eruptions, we find similar Northern Hemisphere (NH) summer cooling compared with other last millennium climate simulations from the Paleo Model Intercomparison Project Phase 4, run with both SO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt; emissions and prescribed forcing, and a continued overestimation of surface cooling compared with tree-ring reconstructions. However, for the largest-magnitude tropical eruptions in 1257 (Mt. Samalas) and 1815 (Mt. Tambora), some models including UKESM1 suggest a smaller NH summer cooling that is in better agreement with tree-ring records. In UKESM1, we find that the simulated volcanic forcing differs considerably from the PMIP4 dataset used in models without interactive aerosol schemes, with marked differences in the hemispheric spread of the aerosol, resulting in lower forcing in the NH when SO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt; emissions are used. Our results suggest that for the largest tropical eruptions, the spatial distribution of aerosol can account for some of the discrepancies between model-simulated and tree-ring derived cooling. Further work should therefore focus on better resolving the spatial distribution of aerosol forcing for past eruptions.</p>
</abstract>
<counts><page-count count="39"/></counts>
<funding-group>
<award-group id="gs1">
<funding-source>Natural Environment Research Council</funding-source>
<award-id>NE/S000887/1</award-id>
</award-group>
</funding-group>
</article-meta>
</front>
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<back>
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